Tesla Stock Barely Budged Tuesday. Here’s What History Says Happens Next.

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Updated Aug. 3, 2021 6:37 p.m. ET / Original Aug. 3, 2021 5:25 p.m. ET

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A wide presumption of the Tesla Assembly plant

Dean Mouhtaropoulos/Getty Images

Tesla banal continued its caller winning streak Tuesday, by the slimmest of margins—shares inched up conscionable 7 cents. It’s precise uncommon Tesla banal does nothing. And erstwhile it does nothing, it is really a bully motion for investors.

Tesla (ticker: TSLA) banal closed astatine $709.75, up 0.0099%. The S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average some closed up astir 0.8%. Tesla banal has risen for 5 consecutive trading sessions, adding 10.1%.

Better than expected net look to person catalyzed the jump. Shares dipped the time aft reporting second-quarter numbers, but rapidly recovered and person been higher since the July 28 report.

Wednesday could mean much gains for Tesla shareholders. Barron’s recovered Tesla banal has moved little than 0.1%, up oregon down 9 times since the commencement of 2019—including Tuesday. It happens erstwhile each 70-or-so trading days. Six of the 8 times anterior to Tuesday, shares roseate the pursuing time by an mean of 1.8%. The S&P 500 was flat, connected average, connected those days.

Predicting one-day banal show based connected a anterior day, frankly, isn’t large analysis. But Tesla, arsenic ever, is simply a peculiar lawsuit that gets endless scrutiny from Wall Street analysts, investors, and the press.

And Tuesday was a dilatory quality time for the world’s astir invaluable car company. Piper Sandler expert Alexander Potter reviewed second-quarter numbers and Tesla’s quarterly filing successful a probe report, but not overmuch changed.

“Bottom line: We inactive truly similar this stock,” wrote Potter. He points retired that Tesla is the fig 1 EV marque successful the U.S., the fig 2 marque successful China, and the fig 2 marque successful Europe. Potter maintained his Buy-rating and $1,200 terms target—the highest people terms connected Wall Street.

Looking astatine one-day show trends is besides an accidental to punctual investors that the accidental a banal rises oregon falls connected a fixed time is simply a small amended than a coin flip—a 50/50 bet. Tesla stock, since the commencement of 2019, has risen 350 times and dropped 301 times. The numbers for the S&P 500 are 376 up days and 275 down days. It makes immoderate consciousness stocks emergence much often than they fall, the banal marketplace tends to spell up implicit time.

Tesla banal truthful acold successful 2021 is, essentially, flat. Shares person paused aft an epic 743% summation successful 2020.

Corrections & Amplifications:Tesla banal is level successful 2021. An earlier mentation of this nonfiction said it was level successful 2020.

Write to allen.root@dowjones.com

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